Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Even-Odd

The "Convention Bounce" is still in play, but many polls are still showing McCain/Palin with a slight edge. Paul Krugman highlights a few:

At this point Intrade shows McCain 50, Obama 49. The poll average at Real Clear Politics has McCain +2. Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight calculates the probabilities at 52 Obama 48 McCain.

This is not a time for recriminations. But the Obama campaign has to figure out a way to do something different, if it can. And I hope that Obama supporters can get over the habit, which has been all too prevalent since the candidate’s slide began, of shooting the messenger.